MH4522 Kernel Estimation for Poisson Point Processes – Spatial Data Science Assignment, Singapore

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      University Nanyang Technological University (NTU)
      Subject MH4522 Spatial Data Science

      MH4522 Spatial Data Science Assignment

      Due: March 19 – March 26, 2025

      The classical kernel estimator1 of the probability density function ϕ(x) of a random variable X is defined by

      h(x) := 1nh i=1n φ(x − xih),

      where xi, i = 1, …, n, are n independent samples of X. Here, h > 0 is a positive parameter called the bandwidth, and φ is a bounded probability density function, such that

      limx→+∞ x|φ(x)| = 0.
      N=1; h=0.1; z =seq(0,1,0.01); kernel=function(z){dnorm(z,0,h/4)};
      x=runif(N); kdensity=function(z){sum(as.numeric(lapply(z-x,kernel))/length(x)}
      plot(0, xlab = "", ylab = "", type = "l", xlim = c(0,1), col = 0,
      ylim=c(0,max(as.numeric(lapply(z,kdensity))),xaxt='n',yaxt='n')
      axis(1, at=c(), xlab = "", lwd=2,labels=c(), pos=0,lwd.ticks=2)
      axis(2, lwd=2, at = c(1,axTicks(4)), lwd.ticks=2); points(x, rep(0,N), pch=3, lwd = 3, col = "blue")
      lines(density(x,width=h),col="purple",lwd=3); lines(z,dunif(z),col="black",lwd=3);
      lines(z,as.numeric(lapply(z,kdensity)),col="red",lwd=2,type='l')

      The aim of this assignment is to implement a kernel estimation for the intensity of a Poisson point process η on ℝd, d ≥ 1. We assume that the intensity measure µ of η has a C2b density ρ : ℝd → ℝ+ with respect to the Lebesgue measure on (ℝd, B(ℝd)), i.e. µ(dx) = ρ(x)dx, and

      IE[η(B)] = µ(B) = B ρ(x)dx, B ∈ B(ℝd).

      We also let

      ∥x∥ = x12 + ··· + xd2, (x1, …, xd) ∈ ℝd,

      denote the Euclidean norm in ℝd, and we denote by φh the Gaussian kernel

      φh(u) := 1(2πh2)d/2 e−u2/(2h2), u ∈ ℝ,

      with variance h > 0. The following questions are interdependent and should be treated in sequence.

      1)

      Show that for all x ∈ ℝd we have

      limh→0 d φh(∥x − y∥)ρ(y)dy1 ··· dyd = ρ(x).
      Hint: You may use Taylor’s formula with integral remainder term

      ρ(y) = ρ(x) + k=1d (yk − xk)∂ρ∂xk(x) + k,l=1d (yk − xk)(yl − xl) 01 (1 − t)2ρ∂xk∂xl(x + t(y − x))dt,

      x, y ∈ ℝd.

      2)

      Show that the estimator

      ρ̂h,0(x) := y∈η φh(∥x − y∥)

      of the density ρ(x) is asymptotically unbiased, i.e. we have

      limh→0 IE[ρ̂h,0(x)] = ρ(x), x ∈ ℝd.
      Hint: Apply Proposition 4.6-a) and the result of Question (1).
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      3)

      Show that the asymptotic variance of the estimator ρ̂h,0 satisfies

      Var[ρ̂h,0(x)] ≃h→0 ρ(x)(2h)dπd/2, x ∈ ℝd,

      i.e.

      limh→0 hd Var[ρ̂h,0(x)] = ρ(x)2dπd/2, x ∈ ℝd.
      Hint: Apply Proposition 4.6-b) and the result of Question (1).

      4)

      Given a domain A ⊂ ℝd such that 0 < µ(A) < ∞ and f ∈ L1(A, µ), compute the expectation

      IE [1{η(A)≥1} 1η(A) A f(x)η(dx)].
      Hint: Apply Proposition 4.4, and proceed similarly to the proof of Proposition 4.6-a).

      5)

      Given a domain A ⊂ ℝd such that 0 < µ(A) < ∞ and f ∈ L1(A, µ) ∩ L2(A, µ), compute the variance

      Var [1{η(A)≥1} 1η(A) A f(y)η(dy)],

      using the quantity

      c(A) := IE [ 1η(A) 1{η(A)≥1} ].
      Hint: Apply Proposition 4.4, and proceed similarly to the proof of Proposition 4.6-b).

      6)

      Show that for any domain A ⊂ ℝd such that 0 < µ(A) < ∞, we have

      c(A) ≤ 2µ(A).
      Hint: Write c(A) as a series, and upper bound it term by term.
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      7)

      For any h > 0, let Ah ⊂ ℝd denote a domain of finite Lebesgue measure in ℝd, and consider the estimator ρ̂h,1 of the probability density ρ(x)/µ(Ah) defined by

      ρ̂h,1(x) := 1{η(Ah)≥1} 1η(Ah) y∈η φh(∥x − y∥).

      Show that ρ̂h,1(x) is asymptotically unbiased in the sense that

      IE[ρ̂h,1(x)] − ρ(x)µ(Ah) = o(µ(Ah)−1)

      as h → 0, i.e.

      limh→0 |µ(Ah)IE[ρ̂h,1(x) − ρ(x)µ(Ah)]| = 0, x ∈ ℝd,

      provided that µ(Ah) → ∞ as h → 0.

      Hint: Apply the results of Question (1) and Question (4).

      8)

      Show that the variance of ρ̂h,1(x) satisfies

      limh→0 Var[ρ̂h,1(x)] = 0

      provided that µ(Ah)−1 = o(hd).

      Hint: Apply the result of Question (5) and use the result of Question (1) as in Question (3), together with the result of Question (6).

      9)

      Show that for any domain A ⊂ ℝd such that 0 < ℓ(A) < ∞ we have

      IE[y∈η∩A 1ρ(y)] = ℓ(A).

      10)

      Based on a dataset of your choice on a domain A, find the value of h > 0 that minimizes the quantity

      IE[(y∈η∩A 1ρ̂h,0(y) − ℓ(A))2]

      and compare the estimations of the density ρ(x) obtained from ρ̂h,0 and ρ̂h,1 (graphs are welcome).

      Examples of datasets include:

      See also:

      • P. Moraga. Geospatial Health Data – Modeling and Visualization with R-INLA and Shiny. Chapman & Hall/CRC Biostatistics Series. CRC Press, 2020.
      • P. Moraga. Spatial Statistics for Data Science – Theory and Practice with R. Chapman & Hall/CRC Data Science Series. CRC Press, 2024.

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