Assignment Details:
Criterion | NN (Fail) | PA (Pass) | CR (Credit) | DI (Distinction) | HD (High Distinction) | |
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Market View and Summary Report |
Depth and breadth of content. Application of relevant theory(40%) |
research relevant to the assessment.
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Quality of data/informationused(40%) |
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Summary report | Structure(10%) |
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Address content in video clip |
Presentation & Clarity(10%) |
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Overall grade (marks): |
Grade Descriptions:
NN indicates unsatisfactory performance, evidence of lack of understanding of course materials/requirements, and/or inadequate, or incomplete depth and breadth of analysis and a lack of relevance.
PA indicates work at or just above minimum standard; tends to be more descriptive than analytical, and where arguments are not strongly supported.
CR indicates above-average work demonstrating an understanding of the concepts and their application. Good research and application.
DI indicates superior work featuring originality, solid research, good critical analysis, and well-substantiated argument.
HD indicates outstanding work featuring originality, excellent critical analysis, detailed research and comprehensive coverage of relevant issues. Presented at professional analyst
standard.
Students must demonstrate their understanding and application of the course materials to analyze and explain the factors that determine the historical movement of AUD/USD exchange rate and predict what the rate will be on 1 December 2019. The specific requirements are as follows:
IF Additional Information:
Tasks/Objectives
- (1) Discuss using on Purchasing Power Parity.
- (2) Discuss using on Interest Rate Parity.
- (3) Discuss using the five factors in the parts supply and demand model.
- (4) Develop your own theoretical model by combining any factors that you deem as important in determining the above exchange rate.
- (5) Discuss any qualitative and quantitative data that may affect the determination of the above exchange rate based on Task 4.
- (6) Comments and Conclusions – compare and contrast Task 1-5. For Task 1-4, you must demonstrate your understanding of the theories in Topics 1 – 6 and the application of these theories in determining the exchange rate. You may use data and calculations in your discussions. You must provide a brief summary at the end of each task.
NOTES FROM Lecturer:
Sensitivity analysis does 1 or 2 enuff.
- Task 1 – PPP does 2 scenario analysis then compare. Can either use the PPP model or regression?
- Task 1-4 = brief the theory, pro & cons for the theory. (MUST HAVE) All the predicted rate will be different.
- Task 3 = All 5 factors from the course notes, every factor will have a predicted movement on SSDD curve. (Means got 5 individual movement) The overall effect will strengthen or weaken AUD (Don’t give numbers).
- Task 4 = Community prices for AUD (MUST DO) plus 2 or 3 more factors then combine it and predict a movement on the exchange rate. Try to get a journal article support the factors u use. Doesn’t matter if they use on different currency as long as the factor same it’s alright.
- Task 5 – Discuss mainly on qualitative because all factors are quantitative. 1 qualitative factor, Impending trade war. Give 2 or more factors. 2 quantitative , 2 quantitative.
- Task 6 – Critical analysis on all the 4 and choose the best, and why?
Additional: Mid rates means no commission taken by banks thru bid-offer
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