University | The Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT) |
Subject | Money and debt markets |
Part 2 — A future yield curve scenario
Use your knowledge of the determinants of interest rates (Week 7 lecture material and tutorial) to forecast future yield curves for Australian Government Bonds (see forecast dates below).
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The basis for your forecasts will be a qualitative assessment of the projected macroeconomic context. Your report should include a description and justification for all assumptions used in the analysis Guidance: Your analysis of the macroeconomic context at the dates for the yield curve forecasts will be shaped by:
- The expectation for the level of the cash rate;
- Inflation as measures by the Australian Consumer Price index (you may also
consider the impact of inflation in other markets); - Inflation expectations;
- Employment and Unemployment;
- Gross Domestic Product;
- Foreign exchange rates; and
@ Any other relevant indicator.
Note: You are allowed to research and utilise external sources for forecasts of key economic indicators and interest rates.
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